Auffie’s Random Thoughts

Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Looks like W. will win

What a day! First there were very distressing early exit polls that show Kerry way ahead. This sent the contracts on TradeSports plummeting (did Matt Drudge manipulate that market?). But soon thereafter Lorie Byrd (at PoliPundit) et al. dispelled the myth of these exit polls, and kept on encourage people to get out and vote. I was at my Hebrew class this evening, so I didn’t watch all the developments closely. But when I came back in the evening, W.’s contracts were trading back at 95. What a relief!

As of now, Ohio appears to be in W.’s column, with 20 electoral votes. If Ohio indeed goes to W. (as the GOP old hands seem to be confident of), W. will have 269 at this time, one short of the 270 required for getting re-elected. Iowa is close, as is Nevada. I hope that Ohio’s margin will be big enough so that Kerry’s army of lawyers will not have a basis for litigation and their fraudulent schemes will not be sufficient to overcome it.

Popular vote for W. at this time is at a good 51%-48%. Not that it matters formally, but it’s a useful thing to shut up those losers who try to use the irrelevant popular vote figure to falsely claim that W. did not have a mandate.

All in all, this is an amazing feat by the Bush-Cheney campaign, especially with the extremely hostile mainstream media (MSM). Evan Thomas of Newsweek admitted that the MSM wants Kerry to win, and that fact alone (through their bald-faced propaganda) accounts for as many as 15 points. If it were not for this, W. could well pull off a landslide. Still, the fact that the country would come so close to electing a leftist traitor is very disconcerting. I hope the Demos will spend some time in self-examination, and try in the future to distance from the ultraleftists among them.

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